ATLANTA — According to a new Channel 2 Action News – Landmark/Rosetta Stone poll, it's still a really close race here in Georgia between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.
The poll shows the difference between the two presidential candidates is still within the margin of error, but also shows more independent voters are going for Trump.
Historically, independent voters are the reason Georgia usually goes red.
“I think Trump will definitely win Georgia, maybe win by a bigger margin than Mitt Romney did,” GOP strategist Brian Robison told Channel 2 political reporter Lori Geary.
“I think she (Clinton) has a chance. I think it's going to be close but I’m optimistic and Democrats should be very proud of the type of campaign she's run in this state,” said Democratic strategist Tharon Johnson.
A deep dive of the numbers shows independent voters in Georgia are leaning Republican. Half of the independent voters polled in Georgia say they're voting for Trump, 38 percent for Clinton and five percent for libertarian Gary Johnson.
Age | Race | |||||||
Total (1200) |
18-39 (273) |
40-64 (599) |
65 & over (328) |
White (770) |
African-American (351) |
Other (79) |
||
% | % | % | % | % | % | % | ||
Donald Trump | 49 | 44.7 | 46.2 | 57.9 | 68.3 | 8.8 | 38.8 | |
Hillary Clinton | 45.7 | 47.3 | 49.8 | 36.9 | 26.2 | 87.5 | 50 | |
Gary Johnson | 3.1 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 3.6 | 1.7 | 5.0 | |
Undecided | 2.2 | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 6.2 |
“Independent voters are coming back home to where they usually are, in Georgia independents are conservative leaning and are most likely to vote Republican,” Robinson said.
Among African-American voters polled, 88 percent say they choose Clinton, 9 percent for Trump and two percent for Johnson.
Gender | Party | ||||||
Male | Female | Republican | Democrat | Other | Independent | ||
(540) | (660 | (559) | (487) | (25) | (130) | ||
% | % | % | % | % | % | ||
Donald Trump | 54.1 | 44.8 | 85.3 | 8 | 29.2 | 50 | |
Hillary Clinton | 39.6 | 50.8 | 10.4 | 88.7 | 37.5 | 37.7 | |
Gary Johnson | 3.9 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 25.0 | 9.2 | |
Undecided | 2.4 | 2 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 8.3 | 3.1 |
Trump is polling at 68 percent among white voters, while 26 percent say they're going for Clinton.
Johnson told Geary he's optimistic because of the number of early voters.
“I believe that a lot of these early votes that we're seeing in the metro area are the folks who are coming out saying I’m tired of negative ads, I don't want to see anymore Donald Trump,” Johnson said.
Cox Media Group